Belt & Road’s Funding Shortfall: Hong Kong’s Key Opportunity

The mighty Dragon has changed direction. It has begun to breathe fire West, across an ancient route through the Taklimakan Desert, bounded by the Kunlun Mountains to the South and the Pamir Mountains to the North, once known as the Silk Road, now known as the “Belt and Road Initiative” (‘BRI’).  The BRI is the greatest infrastructure project in human history, affecting 65 percent of the world’s population, 70 countries and 30 percent of global GDP, driven, in part, by a Chinese economy with over-capacity.

The role for Hong Kong is very simple. The BRI cannot be funded with current capital commitments. It requires funding from international finance markets.  Hong Kong is uniquely placed to be the centre for capital-raising for BRI projects. Packaging a comprehensive suite of services to this effect is the next step.

The BRI is a significant development strategy launched by Chinese President Xi Jinping in 2013. On 3 February 2018, Zhang Dejiang, Chief of the National People’s Congress addressed the Belt and Road General Chamber of Commerce here in Hong Kong and trumpeted the idea of Hong Kong playing a key role in BRI.  At its heart it is, for all intents and purposes, infrastructure project financing. Building overland economic corridors towards Europe and maritime corridors through the Indian Ocean creates an infrastructure system designed to make China the primary economic power in the world. By investing in rail, ports and power plants along the centuries old silk routes, China is seeking to stimulate cross-border trade. 

China has established two major new financial entities – the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (‘AIIB’), and the Silk Road Infrastructure Fund. The AIIB provides financing in a variety of ways including loans, investing in the equity capital of an enterprise and guaranteeing as primary or secondary obligor loans for economic development. The Silk Road Fund is a state-owned investment fund primarily backed by China’s foreign currency reserves to foster increased investment in countries covered by the BRI. 

AIIB President Jin Liqun has stated that the bank aimed to lend US$1.2 billion in 2016. The bank approved US$3.3 billion in its second year for a total of just under US$4.5 billion in approved lending to date. However, the BRI has an infrastructure deficit estimated at US$1.5 trillion per year. The Asian Development Bank has estimated a funding shortfall for Asian (only) infrastructure projects of US$750 billion per year through 2020.  Or another way at looking at it, the present China-based institutions do not have sufficient capital to make BRI work on their own.  By way of comparison, the rival Asian Development Bank led by Japan approved new loans worth US$17.5 billion in 2016 andUS$19.1 billion in 2017 for a two year total of US$36.6 billion, more than eight times the approvals of the AIIB.  In fact, China has borrowed more from the ADB than it has lent through the AIIB.  Furthermore, increased exposure to countries with poor credit profiles along the Belt & Road could put China at risk of being bogged down by the costs involved.  China will be keen to spread that risk with other financiers.

The BRI provides an historic opportunity to Hong Kong to leverage its status as China’s most cosmopolitan city – an efficient financial hub combining rich infrastructure experience, well-regulated markets with deep understanding of both Chinese and Western culture as well as business practices.  BRI infrastructure projects bring together investors, bankers, construction companies and other business enterprises. The complex transactions require deep analysis of legal, regulatory and tax parameters involving multiple countries. Hong Kong is the world’s leading offshore renminbi market and gateway for more than half the mainland’s outward investment. Mainland companies account for half the market capitalisation of Hong Kong’s stock exchange offering direct two-way access to exchanges in Shanghai and Shenzhen.

Hong Kong’s resident BVI, Cayman Islands and Bermuda lawyers will play their usual support role to their Hong Kong counterparts in assisting in the establishment of offshore vehicles which provide efficient hub-connectors for the influx of capital and financing from around the world. As more flexible POEs play a larger part in BRI transactions, and as BRI transactions begin to move into more complex industries that benefit from improved infrastructure including technology and logistics, there will be greater requirements for more complex structuring. In such industries people and not assets are the real value and a holistic investment approach providing financial incentives and some influence over management can help to maximise returns and provide project stability. This is often best established through contractual agreement at the offshore level where both Chinese and local counterparties can have the comfort of a tax neutral platform with predictable laws and robust judges with disputes ultimately being capable of being resolved by the universally well-regarded Privy Counsel in the UK. Offshore structures will continue to facilitate international finance the BRI era. The opportunities for Hong Kong are boundless.


Partner, Harneys

Ian Mann is head of Harneys’ Offshore Litigation and Restructuring Department in Hong Kong and is a leading offshore litigator, senior tactician and thought leader.

Mr. Mann specialises in restructuring, insolvency, shareholders’ disputes and contentious trusts and has extensive experience in cross-border and conflict of laws dilemmas. He has been involved in every major recent restructuring involving offshore entities in the region and some of Asia’s highest value contentious estate litigation. A barrister by training, Mr. Mann is an experienced advocate and regularly appears on behalf of elite families, usually being retained long-term for strategic offshore litigation advice.

Mr. Mann is consistently ranked as top tier in his field by Chambers and Legal 500 and was recognised as one of the world’s leading asset recovery, restructuring & insolvency and private client lawyers by Who’s Who Legal 2016. He is one of only five offshore lawyers ranked as outstanding in both the 2016 and 2017 ALB Offshore Client Choice Lists.


Jonathan Culshaw is the Asia Managing Partner and Global Head of Investment Funds and Regulatory. Jonathan advises on the establishment and maintenance of all types of Cayman Islands hedge, venture capital and private equity funds and the structuring of private equity portfolio acquisitions and disposals. His practice also includes providing Cayman Islands and BVI law advice on the offshore aspects of corporate transactions (mergers and acquisitions, disposals, joint ventures, takeovers, listings and corporate restructurings) and on banking and finance matters, including credit and security issues. He is one of ten offshore lawyers recognised for client service in Asia by Asian Legal Business in 2017 and is ranked as a leading offshore lawyer by Chambers, Legal 500 and IFLR 1000.